Democrats kept moving in Georgia as black turnout rose in Democratic districts in the Senate runoff.
Democrats have largely maintained that momentum, as Black voters — a key component of the party’s base in Georgia — made up a larger share of early voters than early turnout looked like ahead of the November election.
During that period, black voters made up 29 percent of the electorate, noted John Covillon, a Louisiana-based Republican pollster. As of Thursday, Black voters had 32.4 percent of early voting in next week’s runoff, a positive sign for turnout for Warnock’s campaign. Warnock drew 90 percent support from black voters last month, according to an Edison exit poll.
“I think Senator Warnock is building himself a pretty formidable lead right now as we speak,” said Covillon.
Walker will need a massive turnout on Election Day with a runoff, and there isn’t much sign of that happening. If anything, Republican turnout could be underwhelming because control of the Senate is not at stake.
There is a segment of Georgia Republicans who did not support Walker but voted for Governor Brian Kemp in November. Without control of the Senate hanging in the balance, it’s hard to see these voters emerge on Tuesday.
If the Democrats hold their push through Tuesday, Warnock could be building an insurmountable lead. Just a few days of hard work, and the Democrats may be in a position to expand their majority in the Senate.
Jason is the Managing Editor. He is also the White House press reporter and congressional correspondent for PoliticusUSA. Jason holds a Bachelor’s degree in Political Science. His graduate work focused on public policy, with a specialization in social reform movements.
Awards and professional memberships
Member of the Society of Professional Journalists and the American Political Science Association
